Climate Change..... After the Day After II

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 10-24-2007 09:44 AM

Climatically driven fluctuations in Southern Ocean ecosystems
"Population models derived on the basis of these oceanic fluctuations indicate that plausible rates of regional warming of 1degree C over the next 100 years could lead to more than a 95% reduction in the biomass and abundance of krill across the Scotia Sea by the end of the century"
http://www.journals.royalsoc.ac.uk/cont ... 7cefc&pi=4

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 10-26-2007 07:11 AM

Global Environment Outlook - GEO-4 pdf [21.9MB]
"In the language of James Lovelock's Gaia theory, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports that have punctuated 2007 allowed us to take the planet's temperature; Geo-4 shows us what is going on in the blood supply, the lymph system, the intestines and the immune defences"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/p ... 007_un.pdf

'Uncertainty' over climate change
"The kicker is that small uncertainties in the physical processes are amplified into large uncertainties in the climate response, and there is nothing we can do about that"
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uklatest/stor ... 51,00.html

Biology-mediated temperature control on atmospheric (p)CO2 and ocean biogeochemistry
"An implication for the future is that higher ocean temperatures will act as a positive feedback on atmospheric CO2 by reducing the vertical transport of carbon to the deep ocean and thereby increasing CO2 degassing from the ocean"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1301.shtml

Climate is too complex for accurate predictions
"positive feedbacks accelerate global warming and also introduce uncertainty into estimates of climate sensitivity"
http://environment.newscientist.com/art ... tions.html

Methane Bubbling From Arctic Lakes, Now And At End Of Last Ice Age
“Thermokarst lake formation is a source of atmospheric methane today, but it was even more important during early Holocene warming. This suggests that large releases from lakes may occur again in the future with global warming”
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 174618.htm

Third of primates 'under threat'
"the world's primates are in danger of extinction because of destruction of their habitats"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7063139.stm

A stochastic theory for temporal fluctuations in self-organized critical systems
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
http://arxiv.org/abs/0710.4010

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 10-27-2007 06:33 AM

Dengue Fever Outbreak Hits Parts of Asia
"Cambodia, Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand have all experienced large outbreaks"
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hskD ... gD8SH47J00

Effects of temperature and precipitation trends on US drought
"Results indicate that without the increase in precipitation, severe to extreme drought would have affected as much as 50% more of the U.S. during some months in the most recent drought period"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1541.shtml

Stanford Hosts its Second Annual Roundtable
“Our responsibility is to create a model of hyper energy productivity that others will want to emulate”
http://www.stanfordreview.org/Archive/V ... ews1.shtml

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 10-27-2007 07:38 AM

IPCC: New climate change agreement to be stricter than Kyoto
"Unfortunately, we know that some of the goals of the document signed in Kyoto will not be accomplished, but the new agreement must be stricter because the evidence of global warming is clearer and there is more pressure from society on politicians to act"
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007- ... 955991.htm

As glaciers melt, Chile's future uncertain
''I see the changes every time I'm in the mountains....... The impact of all this has been impossible not to see"
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/america ... 85037.html

Biofuels 'crime against humanity'
"The IMF last week voiced concern that the increasing global reliance on grain as a source of fuel could have serious implications for the world's poor"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7065061.stm

Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification
http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/11 ... 3-2007.pdf

Brussels gets tough on CO2 emissions UN special rapporteur
“This precedent means that there is a real chance that investors will be convinced that the EU is serious enough about global warming to work to achieve its longer term objective of avoiding warming above 2ºC by making significant emissions reductions between now and 2020”
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3e1b5c2e-83f6 ... fd2ac.html

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 10-29-2007 10:52 AM

The Prophet Of Climate Change: James Lovelock
"We have a tremendous amount to do.....[We can return to a more primitive lifestyle and live in equilibrium with the planet as hunter-gatherers, or we can sequester ourselves in a very sophisticated, high-tech civilization] There's no question which path I'd prefer..... It's really a question of how we organize society -- where we will get our food, water. How we will generate energy"
http://www.countercurrents.org/goodell291007.htm

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-01-2007 09:23 AM

"Climate Change on the Living Earth" A Must Watch....*****
Prof James Lovelock @ the Royal Society (Public Lecture) 29.10.07
http://tv.royalsoc.ac.uk/dpx_live/dpx.p ... er=dpx_v12

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-01-2007 12:14 PM

Nordic nations sound alarm over melting Arctic
"The climate is hurtling towards a turning point after which irreversible processes will have been set in motion"
http://uk.reuters.com/article/environme ... 0620071031

EL NIÑO/LA NIÑA UPDATE
"For management of climate risks and climate-related risks during this event, it is therefore critical to recognize the specific aspects of the current evolving situation and consult regional seasonal climate outlooks that factor in both the prevailing La Niña conditions, and other aspects of the climate system, such as the unusual conditions prevailing in the Indian Ocean"
http://www.wmo.ch/pages/mediacentre/new ... _Oct07.doc

An RCM projection of soil thermal and moisture regimes for North American permafrost zones
"Intensification of the hydrologic cycle in future climate for the various permafrost zones is projected with important changes to the soil moisture regime, which are reflected in the reduction of the frozen soil moisture content, which in turn increases the deep drainage for all permafrost zones"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1385.shtml

Psychicwolf · Post by **Psychicwolf** » 11-01-2007 03:29 PM

May and June would have told you that the PNW was probably going to have a fairly warm summer (for this region), but July, August and September definitely patterned previous La Ninas. We never had one day over 90 degrees in Western Washington and the Fall has been alternating between moderate/heavy rain and days like today, near 60 degrees and sunny. Typical La Nina patterns for this area. Thanks for the report, Janus.

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-02-2007 07:48 AM

The Climate Change Apocalypse
"a fundamental restructuring of civilization"
http://cornellsun.com/node/25748

Role of solar activity in the troposphere-stratosphere coupling in the Southern Hemisphere winter
"The effect of the 11-year solar cycle on the troposphere-stratosphere (TS) coupling in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) late winter/spring is examined through the analysis of observations and simulations with a chemistry-climate model. It is found that the TS coupling in the SH late winter/spring is significantly modified according to the solar cycle; the dynamical coupling between the troposphere and stratosphere becomes stronger with the increasing solar activity. Such modulation of the strength of the TS coupling is found to be the source of the solar-cycle modulation of the annular mode in late winter/spring. A possible mechanism of the solar-cycle-TS-coupling relationship is also discussed"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 0983.shtml

California fires release 8M tons of CO2
"Our attempts to control fire have had the unintended benefit of sequestering more carbon in our forests and reducing the impact of human combustion of fossil fuels. But as these forests now begin to burn, that stored twentieth century carbon is moving back into the atmosphere"
http://news.mongabay.com/2007/1101-fires.html

Elastic uplift in southeast Greenland due to rapid ice mass loss
"The rapid unloading of ice from the southeastern sector of the Greenland ice sheet between 2001 and 2006 caused an elastic uplift of ?35 mm at a GPS site in Kulusuk. Most of the uplift results from ice dynamic-induced volume losses on two nearby outlet glaciers. Volume loss from Helheim Glacier, calculated from sequential digital elevation models, contributes about ?16 mm of the observed uplift, with an additional ?5 mm from volume loss of Kangerdlugssuaq Glacier. The remaining uplift signal is attributed to significant melt-induced ice volume loss from the ice sheet margin along the southeast coast between 62°N and 66°N"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1468.shtml

Bangladesh president addresses warming
"Tens of millions will be forced from their homes, becoming environmental refugees"
http://www.ohio.com/news/10965701.html

"The Question is...... Would you just make the effort to avail yourself to the Data....?" Jeremy Narby

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-04-2007 09:33 AM

Rapid loss of the Ayles Ice Shelf, Ellesmere Island, Canada
"The ice shelf was likely weakened prior to calving by a long-term negative mass balance related to an increase in mean annual temperatures over the past 50+ years. The weakened ice shelf then calved during the warmest summer on record in a period of high winds, record low sea ice conditions and the loss of a semi-permanent landfast sea ice fringe"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1809.shtml

Climate Affects Security
"the collapse and chaos associated with extreme climate change futures would destabilize virtually every aspect of modern life"
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5josN ... wD8SM1UH00

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-05-2007 07:38 AM

Quasi-biennial modulation of the semidiurnal tide in the upper mesosphere above Halley, Antarctica
"We present an analysis of a long-term archive of horizontal wind data derived from meteor wind observations from a SuperDARN radar at Halley, Antarctica (76°S, 27°W)"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1282.shtml

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-06-2007 03:11 AM

Climate change: Rising tides
“With around 17 million people living near the coast in the UK, this is something we cannot afford to ignore”
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.j ... oom106.xml

Workshop on climate change, humanitarian disasters and international development
Linking Vulnerability, Risk Reduction and Response Capacity
http://www.gechs.org/downloads/disaster ... Report.pdf

Antarctic sea ice and climate change
"Whilst historical ship charts and satellite images provide evidence for a rapid decline in Arctic sea ice over recent decades, very little is known about the behaviour of Antarctic sea ice before the satellite era. To make accurate predictions of how Antarctic sea ice will respond to future global change there is a strong need to develop a good 'proxy' to reconstruct a picture of the past"
http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/about_bas/p ... .php?id=22

Global Ocean Observing Array Reaches Milestone
"This is a major milestone as we expand our global earth observing systems”
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories200 ... _argo.html

Rainfall variability: Impact of climate change?
"In the Himalayas, the storage of precipitation in the form of snow and ice (in glaciers) over a long period provides a large water reservoir that regulates annual water distribution. The majority of rivers originating in the Himalayas have their upper catchments in snow-covered areas and flow through steep mountains. If there is any climatic variability in the Himalayas the impacts could be felt in the downstream countries - that is, India and Bangladesh"
http://nation.ittefaq.com/issues/2007/1 ... ws0986.htm

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-08-2007 01:31 AM

Younger Dryas: A data to model comparison to constrain the strength of the overturning circulation
"I find that only a complete shut-down and recovery of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation can simulate both the rise in atmospheric Carbon Dioxide concentrations seen in ice core records and the peak and subsequent decrease in atmospheric (?14C) comparable to the peak recorded in the varved sediments of the Cariaco Basin"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1304.shtml

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-11-2007 08:12 AM

Observational evidence of solar dimming: Offsetting surface warming over India
"Despite the drastic decrease in solar radiation, the all India averaged surface maximum and minimum air temperatures have been increasing. But, the change in increase in maximum temperature from the first decade to second decade is only marginal under the present situation of drastic increase in greenhouse gas emissions, while the increase in minimum temperature has been doubled"
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2 ... 1133.shtml

WWF opposes plan to dump 500 tons of urea into Sulu Sea
"WWF urges extreme caution in testing this unproven and potentially-risky technology in natural marine ecosystems, especially in critical biodiversity areas such as the Sulu Sea, home to some of our richest fishing grounds and the Tubbataha Reefs, a World Heritage Site"
http://www.gmanews.tv/story/68069/WWF-o ... o-Sulu-Sea

UN climate report: already out of date?
"Over the past several years we have realized ... that the speed at which changes can occur -- such as ice sheet disintegration and resulting sea level rise -- is much faster than IPCC has estimated"
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingne ... _id=100087

We all have a stake in future civilisation
"Various reports released at the end of the summer are alarming. In early September, melting of glaciers in Greenland was happening at an unprecedented rate. If we don’t move quickly, the level of the oceans may rise by 7 meters. Many costal cities would be partly underwater, just as the rice growing plains in Asia. We’re looking at things we’ve never seen before"
http://www.metrofrance.com/fr/article/2 ... /index.xml

Janus232 · Post by **Janus232** » 11-12-2007 06:35 AM

The AR4 Synthesis Report IPCC - 12-17 November 2007, Valencia, Spain

• Past climate change including palaeoclimate aspects
• Effects of past climate change on natural systems and society
• Future climate change
• Vulnerabilities
• Hazards, risks and opportunities
• Water, agriculture, ecosystems, human well-being and development
• Regional implications
• Implications of timescales, inertia, and lags
• Risks of abrupt or irreversible changes
• Adaptation - past experience and options and policies (including costs/benefits, co-benefits, and spillover effects), extent, limits, effectiveness and enhancement, sectoral and regional considerations, current, medium-, and long-term
• Mitigation - past experience and options and policies (including costs/benefits, co-benefits, and spillover effects), extent, limits, effectiveness and enhancement, sectoral and regional considerations, current, medium-, and long-term
• Relationship between adaptation and mitigation options
• Technology: timing, development, transfer, environment and integration issues
• International cooperation_
• Costs, benefits and avoided damage and risks at global and regional levels and under different scenarios
• Timing of mitigation and equity implications
• Relationship between adaptation and mitigation
• Technology flows and development
• Broader environment and integration issues
http://www.ipcc.ch/