HURRICANE SEASON 2009 - The Official Thread

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What are your predictions for the 2009 hurricane season?

Poll ended at 06-14-2009 11:52 PM

A few storms will brush the U.S. East Coast; nothing serious.
3
50%
One storm will be a stand-out, and cause the loss of lives and millions of dollars of property in the U.S.
0
No votes
Several CAT 3-5 storms will come one after another resulting in major devastation along the East Coast.
2
33%
The Gulf of Mexico will again be the target for a majority of this season's hurricanes.
1
17%
 
Total votes: 6

Shirleypal
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Post by Shirleypal » 05-28-2009 10:57 PM

I'm working hard to lay-off the chocolate (did I just say that??) this season! Trying to find a less-fattening form of comfort food -- maybe (gasp!) fruit of some sort?

Forget it, stick with the chocolate, we all need some comfort in life.:D

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Post by Live365 » 05-29-2009 07:36 PM

It's going to be 90 degrees in these parts on Sunday, but predicted 58 degrees on Thursday. Never before have I seen such whacked-out weather, than in these last two years.

For us, Global Warming worked. Longer crop-seasons, shorter cold-fronts. But 2007-2009 changed all that. Now I see that the first tropical storm is forming (Interesting, that I can't find a link). Is it normal, for a storm this soon? Are we in store for another 2005? Or is this nothing?

I'll vote in Hurricane Joanie's poll when I have a better feel for this. Air-conditioner is running now; furnace will be running next week. I miss the new-normal.
Did you ever stop to think, and then forget to start again?

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June 1 - Official start of hurricane season

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 06-01-2009 10:41 PM

Now it begins . . . Needles and pins, twilight till dawn
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Re: June 1 - Official start of hurricane season

Post by Swerdloc » 06-02-2009 09:02 AM

HurricaneJoanie wrote: Now it begins . . . Needles and pins, twilight till dawn


I thought that was "Now it begins-a... Needles and pins-a...."
Anchors Aweigh

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Grateful New Orleans comes roaring back!

Post by cherry » 06-02-2009 09:29 AM


Thank you, Austin, for your love and support of one of America's most resilient and culturally unique cities, New Orleans. Hurricane season started Monday, and we are confident and better prepared ....

With your help, New Orleans is experiencing an unprecedented economic boom predicted to last seven-plus years. We still have challenges, but we are among the best positioned cities in America! Thank you! Thank you! Thank you!

C. Ray Nagin
Mayor of New Orleans

http://www.statesman.com

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Post by SETIsLady » 06-07-2009 08:47 PM

Lots of rain the last couple of weeks, coming in like mini hurricanes with the winds and all. Our lakes are finally beginning to recover from the drought.

Looks like all clear on the coasts right now, thank goodness.

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Re: Re: June 1 - Official start of hurricane season

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 06-07-2009 09:38 PM

Swerdloc wrote: I thought that was "Now it begins-a... Needles and pins-a...."


:D :D You are correct, sir!
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Post by Shirleypal » 06-16-2009 07:41 PM

"Save the Earth!" It's the only planet with chocolate....!.

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Post by SETIsLady » 06-22-2009 01:38 PM

First named storm forms off Mexico's Pacific Coast

MEXICO CITY (AP) — Tropical Storm Andres was slowing down and strengthening off the southwestern coast of Mexico early Monday, and forecasters said it could become a hurricane in coming days.

It was too soon to tell if the storm would make landfall, but a tropical storm watch was issued from Zihuatanejo northward to Manzanillo, meaning that tropical storm conditions were possible in the next day or two.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/conte ... =7&cxcat=0

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Post by SETIsLady » 06-24-2009 08:12 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 240831
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009
200 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2009

...ANDRES WEAKENING...

AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT 315
MILES...505 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

ANDRES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.5N 106.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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Post by Shirleypal » 07-14-2009 12:13 PM

Hurricane Carlos on the Move in Pacific posted: 24 MINUTES AGOcomments: 4
filed under: Hurricane News, Weather News
Just days after it weakened to tropical storm, Carlos again becomes a hurricane, moving further out into the Pacific. Forecasters say the weather system has winds near 75 mph and could get stronger over the next 24 hours.
Full Coverage

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Post by racehorse » 07-15-2009 01:07 PM

http://www.nola.com/news/index.ssf/2009 ... nvisi.html

Bill Gates of Microsoft envisions fighting hurricanes by manipulating the sea

by Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune

Wednesday July 15, 2009, 7:11 AM

If you thought domination of the world's software market was cool, get a load of Bill Gates' next technological vision: giant ocean-going tubs that fight hurricanes by draining warm water from the surface to the depths, through a long tube.

A second tube could simultaneously suck cool water from the depths to the surface.

Microsoft founder Gates and a dozen other scientists and engineers have a patent pending for deploying such vessels, which they say would collect water through waves breaking over the walls of the tub. Some variations have the water moving through turbines on their way down, which would in turn generate electricity to suck up the cooler water.

As many as 200 vessels could be placed strategically in the predicted path of a hurricane, and they could be designed to be reused or to sink in place and decompose underwater. The vessels could be moved into place by towing or by dropping from airplanes.

A second patent application describes how part or all of the cost of building and maintaining the hurricane-killer ships could be raised by selling insurance to coastal residents whose risk would be reduced by using the new system.

The hurricane-killing ideas, contained in a half-dozen related patent applications, were made public by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office on Friday, with Gates listed as one of the inventors on each. The applications were submitted by Searete LLC, a subsidiary of Intellectual Ventures of Bellevue, Wash., and created by former Microsoft executives to both buy up existing patents and develop patent applications for new ideas.

The hurricane-killer system isn't expected to be rolled out any time soon, however, according to a posting on the Intellectual Ventures Lab Web site.

Paul "Pablos" Holman, whose job title is listed as "hacker, " said the system would be feasible only if other responses to more active hurricane seasons or more intense hurricanes caused by global warming do not work.

"This type of technology is not something humankind would try as a 'Plan A' or 'Plan B, ' " he wrote. "These inventions are a 'Plan C' where humans decide that we have exhausted all of our behavior changing or alternative energy options and need to rely on mitigation technologies.

"If our planet is in this severe situation, then our belief is that we should not be starting from scratch at investigating mitigation options, " he wrote.

The water-moving vessels would not be limited to killing hurricanes, however. The applications also suggest the "wave induced downwelling" could stir up nutrient-rich sediment on ocean floors to promote plant and animal growth in environmentally-degraded areas.

"This may be used for developing wildlife preservation areas, wildlife recreation areas, restoring wildlife destroyed by natural or man-made causes, etc., " according to the patent application.

Another proposal calls for moving nutrients and other material from the ocean floor to the surface to promote growth of algae to trap carbon as a tool in fighting global warming.

Intellectual Ventures was created in 2000 by Nathan Myhrvold, who was Gates' chief technology officer at Microsoft, and Edward Jung, who was Microsoft's chief software architect. In a May article on the unveiling of Intellectual Venture's own patent laboratory, the Seattle Times reported that the firm has earned $1 billion in licensing revenue from patents it has acquired and about $80 million from patents for ideas it has created since its founding in 2000.

"We consider ourselves basically an invention business, " said Marelaine Dykes, a spokeswoman for the company. "We're a non-practicing entity, a non-manufacturing entity because we don't produce products, per se."

But the new laboratory does produce prototypes of some of its new inventions, she said, and subsidiaries like Searete are being formed to handle a variety of categories of the patents held or developed by the company.

The hurricane killing plan was the product of a gathering of scientists and invention developers more than a year ago.

"These are brainstorming sessions where we come up with and develop ideas around particular topics, " she said. "We bring in smart people from all over, depending on the topic."

Gates, an investor in Intellectual Ventures, has attended several of the invention salons, resulting in his name being added to the ensuing patent applications.

Others listed on those patents include a nuclear reactor designer, an aerospace engineer who has designed reusable launch vehicles, and a climatologist researching ways of increasing water droplets in upper-level clouds to reflect sunlight into space to fight global warming.

New Orleans residents might be keen on at least two other ideas for which Gates and his allies have sought patents: an insulated container that can be used as a beer keg and a fence using photons -- particles of light -- to shoo mosquitoes away from homes.

For information about the patents, visit the company's Web site at

http://www.intellectualventures.com.

--
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Post by Shirleypal » 08-05-2009 06:26 PM

Felicia Becomes Major Hurricane AP
posted: 2 HOURS 7 MINUTES
NOAAMIAMI (Aug. 5) - Hurricane Felicia is a major storm after gaining strength far out in the Pacific.
The National Hurricane Center says Felicia's maximum sustained winds Wednesday have increased to near 115 mph, raising it to a Category 3 storm and making it a major hurricane.
Felicia is centered about 1,370 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California peninsula and is moving northwest near 12 mph.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Enrique over the Pacific has maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. It is expected to weaken and dissipate in the next two days. Enrique is centered about 880 miles west-southwest of Baja California and is moving northwest near 16 mph.
http://news.aol.com/article/hurricane-f ... orm/571221

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Post by SETIsLady » 08-06-2009 10:26 AM

Hurricane Felicia is up to a Cat 4 and Enrique is right in front of her ...hope she doesnt come on land.

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Post by SETIsLady » 08-06-2009 10:28 AM

ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
800 AM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

...ENRIQUE WEAKENS...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.6 WEST OR ABOUT
1140 MILES...1830 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

More:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... HHMM.shtml

ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082009
800 AM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

...FELICIA MAINTAINING STRENGTH BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER
TODAY...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELICIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.9 WEST OR ABOUT
1510 MILES...2430 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 1545 MILES...2490 KM...EAST OF HILO HAWAII.

FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FELICIA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS FELICIA MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS.

More:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... HHMM.shtml

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