HURRICANE SEASON 2009 - The Official Thread

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What are your predictions for the 2009 hurricane season?

Poll ended at 06-14-2009 11:52 PM

A few storms will brush the U.S. East Coast; nothing serious.
3
50%
One storm will be a stand-out, and cause the loss of lives and millions of dollars of property in the U.S.
0
No votes
Several CAT 3-5 storms will come one after another resulting in major devastation along the East Coast.
2
33%
The Gulf of Mexico will again be the target for a majority of this season's hurricanes.
1
17%
 
Total votes: 6

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HurricaneJoanie
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Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-12-2009 09:45 PM

{{{{{{Shirl}}}}}}}

We will need you to hoist the flags when we're under watches and warnings.
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

SETIsLady
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Post by SETIsLady » 05-18-2009 09:54 PM

Rainy season starts next week and we are FINALLY getting rain, woohoo !! :)

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Post by Shirleypal » 05-18-2009 10:14 PM

HurricaneJoanie wrote: {{{{{{Shirl}}}}}}}

We will need you to hoist the flags when we're under watches and warnings.


I don't mind but I think SETIsLady usually does that, she follows the season much closer than I do......

SETIsLady
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Post by SETIsLady » 05-18-2009 10:15 PM

Its a big flag we can all hoist it :p

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HurricaneJoanie
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Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-20-2009 12:13 AM

You've done it in the past, Shirley -- you had the animated gif, remember? Whoever can post the animation when we have a watch or warning is fine with me.

Linda! I just saw a HUGE swirly fiendish thingy (that's for you, Bellisima!) covering the peninsula. Rotating quite fast. Popped in to see if you'd mentioned it. Glad you're getting RAIN -- and hope associated storms will be minimal.
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Post by SETIsLady » 05-20-2009 11:29 AM

Had a tornado touch down along the beach about 10 miles from here about 45 minutes ago and are now under a tornado warning. Yes we are finally getting rain, I can hear my plants cheering it on :)

Joanie, Orlando and Northern FL seems to get wacked the most from the swirly thing.

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HurricaneJoanie
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Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-20-2009 10:26 PM

Geez, Linda . . . I know you've got your eye on the TV. Do you have a weather radio? I have a Midland 300 -- really great alert system.

We've had our share of tornadoes in the past couple of weeks. The "not knowing" when something might roar into you -- despite all the radar and warnings in the world -- is nerve rattling.

Will be watching with you to see what's going on....

STAY SAFE!
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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HurricaneJoanie
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NOAA forecasts 9 to 14 tropical storms this season

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-22-2009 10:36 PM

By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID
AP Science Writer
Posted: May. 21, 2009
Updated: Today [May 22] at 1:30 p.m.


WASHINGTON — Hurricanes will strike the United States this season and Americans must be prepared, federal forecasters said Thursday. They predicted nine to 14 named tropical storms this year.

Current projections call for a near normal year for hurricanes, Gerry Bell, lead Atlantic hurricane forecaster for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said at a briefing. The named storms are expected to include 4 to 7 hurricanes of which 1 to 3 are likely to be major storms.

"Hurricane season is upon us. We need to communicate down to the personal level, preparedness, now is the time," said National Hurricane Center Director Bill Read.

Have a plan and follow it, he said, waiting to see if the forecast changes can mean life or death.

Added Craig Fugate, head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency: "Hurricanes will make landfall in the United States, hurricanes will destroy homes, people need to heed the preparedness message and be ready to act."

And Commerce Secretary Gary Locke noted that, "Today, more than 35 million Americans live in regions most threatened by Atlantic hurricanes."


Read the complete article >>
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Post by SETIsLady » 05-28-2009 12:23 AM

Finally got my flood insurance renewal :::whew::: how are things going for you Joanie and the rest of those on the coast. We have been hammered with rain for the last week almost non stop.

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HurricaneJoanie
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Thread wasn't started too soon! FIRST BULLETIN TODAY!

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-28-2009 06:45 PM

They didn't even test the list or announce that things would be up-and-running come June 1 as they usually do.

Let's jump into the surf and prepare for a big ol' wave. This one's in my backyard, so to speak....

000
WTNT31 KNHC 281449
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012009
1100 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT PASSED TO THE EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS YESTERDAY HAS BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... THE FIRST OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND AND ABOUT 635
MILES...1020 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THEN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE OVER COLDER WATERS BY SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...37.3N 71.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BEVEN
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Post by Shirleypal » 05-28-2009 06:47 PM

Let's hope this fizzles out {{{{Joanie}}}}, stay safe.

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HurricaneJoanie
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Formed over colder waters, fizzling into colder water....

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-28-2009 06:55 PM

5 P.M. Update:

..DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND AND ABOUT 565 MILES...905 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...
26 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT
EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR FRIDAY...BUT THEN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE OVER COLDER WATERS BY SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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Post by SETIsLady » 05-28-2009 07:02 PM

Got the text message today about this Joannie, its going to be a long season. Stay safe my friend. Got Chocolate ? :p

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HurricaneJoanie
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Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-28-2009 10:09 PM

Hey SL...

I'm working hard to lay-off the chocolate (did I just say that??) this season! Trying to find a less-fattening form of comfort food -- maybe (gasp!) fruit of some sort?

Really surprised this one didn't form into a TD in your/i] area. Water off the OBX is chilly even during the hottest of summers. I haven't had time to read the Discussions to get full info. A Weather Channel chick just said the TD holds the distinction of the first formation to originate so far north.

Yep -- we could be in for an interesting season....
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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HurricaneJoanie
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Hmmmm....

Post by HurricaneJoanie » 05-28-2009 10:29 PM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE IT MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY.

-- 11 p.m. NHC update
It's either real or it's a dream, There's nothing that is in between. ~ Jeff Lynne

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