Perspectives On Mid-Term Elections - Decision 2022

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Perspectives On Mid-Term Elections - Decision 2022

Post by Riddick » 02-19-2022 07:32 PM

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HOUSE DEMS RETIRING HITS 30 YEAR HIGH

For Republicans, noting the high number of Democrat retirements points to the likelihood they will be able to take back control of the House.

"Thirty House Democrats have called it quits because they know their majority is doomed," Mike Berg, a spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said.

Despite the retirements, Democrats are still trying to put on their best face, highlighting accomplishments such as $1 trillion in infrastructure spending and COVID-19 relief that will bring votes to their side come November.

FULL STORY
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"THE BRAND IS SO TOXIC"

Post by Riddick » 02-19-2022 08:58 PM

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The Democratic Party’s struggle in rural America has been building for years. And it’s getting worse.

Democratic Rep. Jim Cooper of Tennessee, who recently announced he would not seek reelection to Congress this fall, warns the party is facing extinction in small-town America. "It's hard to sink lower than we are right now. You're almost automatically a pariah in rural areas if you have a D after your name," Cooper told the AP.

Part of a larger problem threatening the Democratic Party heading into the November elections, a cultural trend that is redefining the political landscape helped Republicans limit Democratic inroads in 2020 -- the GOP actually gained House seats despite Donald Trump's presidential loss. A year later, surging rural support enabled Republicans to claim the Virginia governorship.

A small but vocal group of Democratic officials now fears the same trends will undermine their candidates in Ohio, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, states that will help decide the Senate majority in November, and the White House two years after that.

Meanwhile, the Democratic Party continues to devote the vast majority of its energy, messaging and resources to voters in more populated urban and suburban areas.

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Majority Now Intend to Vote for GOP In Congress

Post by Riddick » 02-22-2022 11:43 PM

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Shock Poll: Republican Leads Oregon Governor Race

Post by Riddick » 06-02-2022 12:06 PM

Conducted between May 25-27, the new poll from Nelson Research showed Republican Christine Drazan with 29.5 percent of support, while Democrat Tina Kotek had just 27.5 percent of support. Independent Betsy Johnson trails with just 19.4 percent of support.

The poll did not explore the top reasons for Drazan’s support, though it might stem from the fact that Oregon had some of the strictest coronavirus policies in the nation, which Drazan has outright opposed. Drazan has also described herself as being pro-second amendment and pro-life.

Republicans have not won a gubernatorial race in Oregon in 40 years. FULL STORY
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South Texas Special Election Spells Doom for Dems in November

Post by Riddick » 06-15-2022 11:52 AM

Republicans flipped a majority-Hispanic seat in South Texas for the first time in more than a century Tuesday night, a result that spells major trouble for Democrats ahead of the 2022 midterms.

Republican Mayra Flores became the first Mexican-born woman elected to Congress after she defeated Democrat Dan Sanchez by 8 points in the special election for Texas's 34th Congressional District, which incumbent Filemon Vela (D.) vacated in March. A Republican has not represented the area since 1870, according to the Houston Chronicle.

Flores's historic win will almost certainly send Democrats reeling just months away from November as the party loses its long-held grip on Hispanic voters. Record-high inflation, gas prices, and illegal immigrant encounters under President JBiden have driven South Texas's Hispanic voters to the Republican Party in droves. Flores, for example, defeated Sanchez in Cameron County, which is 90 percent Hispanic. Biden won the county by double-digits less than two years ago.

Bienvenido in Action—the first Hispanic PAC to support Flores in the special election—said that by electing Flores, "Hispanics are telling the rest of the country that we are fed up with reckless liberal policies and want change."

"While gas prices go through the roof and families struggle to find baby formula," the group continued, "Biden and the left have weakened our communities, radicalized our school curricula, and even tried imposing offensive terms like ‘Latinx' to upend our language."

The White House did not immediately return a request for comment. FULL STORY
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Elon Gets Red-Pilled!

Post by Riddick » 06-15-2022 12:44 PM

Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk stated in a tweet in the early hours of Wednesday that he voted for Republican candidate Mayra Flores in the recent special election for Texas’s 34th Congressional District, also predicting a “massive red wave in 2022.”

Following her historic win, Flores responded to Musk saying, “Welcome to the Republican Party! We welcome all walk aways from all walks of life. The party of opportunity, prosperity, and freedom is here to stay. We look forward to working together and building a better future for all of America.”

Musk announced that his vote for Flores was the first time that he ever voted Republican. Breitbart News previously reported that Musk has said he will vote Republican in the future despite “overwhelmingly” voting for Democrats for most of his life.

When asked who he would support as a Republican presidential candidate, Musk responded “DeSantis,” referencing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL). When asked by another user if he expected a Republican president in the coming years, Musk replied “tbd.”

Musk also responded to a tweet asking if the criticism he has received from Democrats recently is the first time he’s experienced major objections from left-wing politicians, to which Musk responded “yes.”

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How High The Wave?

Post by Riddick » 06-15-2022 12:45 PM

It’s a long way to November, but so far the Democrats continue to slide, and they have yet to hit bottom.

With the widespread sense of malaise among Americans, it's not hard to appreciate why Republicans hold such a pronounced political advantage. Historically, presidents almost always lose seats in their first midterm election. With President Biden’s approval rating now under 40 percent in the national averages, the fundamentals are dismal for the party in power.

How dismal could things get for Democrats? Even if we assume House Republicans cash in on their favorable political environment, measuring the wave the right way is important. It’s not the number of House seats that Republicans pick up that’s the relevant measure, but the overall number of seats won.

So mark the number 248 (or +35 net) on your scorecards as a sign of a true political tsunami, as they’d hold their biggest House majority since 1929.

Simply winning 242 seats (+29 net) would match the GOP’s 2010 standing. And anything at 233 or higher (+20 net) would give Kevin McCarthy enough breathing room to manage his caucus effectively, without having to fear the most extreme House Republicans would disrupt his best-laid plans.

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CNN Decimates Biden & Dems' Midterm Hopes

Post by Riddick » 06-15-2022 02:15 PM

One of the few people at CNN who has been fairly honest about how badly Biden has been doing in the polls is their senior data reporter, Harry Enten. But what’s interesting is lately, they are featuring him more and more, which means CNN is putting out some honesty that is just decimating Biden.

If Democrats lose CNN, you know they are in big trouble, and the network seems unafraid about airing negative news on the Dems now. Enten previously spoke about how bad the numbers were for Biden, particularly on gas prices and inflation. Now, he explains that not only is the American opinion of Biden on inflation “awful” but “how people feel about it is even worse….This is the worst consumer sentiment ever measured by the University of Michigan, since 1952,” he explains.

But the biggest takeaway, Enten explains, is how the GOP is doing on the generic congressional ballot. He looked at it going back to 1938 and it’s “the best Republican position on the generic congressional ballot basically of all time.” In other words, the Republican position is even better than it was in the years there were huge waves in 1994 and 2010, sweeping Republicans in.

inflation is the number one issue voters care about, not “gun violence” & not abortion, he explains. it’s clear people are tired of the nonsense, tired of the Democrats, tired of Joe Biden, tired of inflation and the tsunami is on the way.

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GOP Targets Ad To Capitalize On Historic Hispanic Swing Away From Dems

Post by Riddick » 07-02-2022 03:34 AM

The RNC on Friday unveiled a campaign ad in Spanish aimed at Hispanic voters in swing states, targeting vulnerable Senate Democrats over the economy.

Beginning with a nostalgic exposition of the "American Dream," the video goes on to blame Dems for allowing the hope for a better life it offers to "become a relic of the past."

It goes on to highlight the rising cost of food and other goods as inflation takes its toll on the economy. "We, the people, deserve something better," the ad concludes.

The renewed Republican effort to court the Latino community comes after Mayra Flores' victory in a June special election to fill the seat of Texas's heavily Hispanic 34th Congressional District made her the 1st Republican to represent the district since Reconstruction and the first Mexican-born woman elected to Congress.

President Biden's Hispanic support has continued to plummet with a mere 24% approving of his job performance in a June Quinnipiac University poll. The same poll showed only 20% supported his handling of the economy while 68% disapproved.

FULL STORY
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